According to researchers from the University of Newcastle (Newcastle University), the number of elderly people suffering from multiple chronic diseases will increase significantly by 2035. Diseases such as diabetes, dementia, cancer and depression, will relate to almost every elderly person in the future.
Scientists from the Institute of aging (Institute for Ageing) argue that every third elderly person is diagnosed with a chronic medical disease that will suffer from dementia, depression or other forms of cognitive impairment. Scientists predict that over the next 20 years there will be significant growth of patients with multiple chronic diseases.
Studies that are part of the MODEM project was funded by the Council for economic and social research (Economic and Social Research Council) and research arm of the NHS, the National Institute for research in the field of health (National Institute for Health Research).
Also projected to increase life expectancy by 2035: additional 3.6 years for men and 2.9 for women. However, the researchers emphasized that additional years pensioners future will hold in hospitals.
The projected increase in the number of pensioners diagnosed with cancer will increase by 179,4%, and diabetes and arthritis will suffer 118% more than today: “the Number of older people with a range of chronic diseases will increase significantly by 2035,” the researchers say.
Sad prediction of scientists means that in the near future elderly people aged 85 years will hurt three or four chronic diseases simultaneously. Studies have also shown that older people aged 65 to 74 years are more likely to suffer two or three diseases.
Carol Jagger (Carol Jagger), Professor of epidemiology from the Institute of aging, expressed the hope that scientists forecast will affect the restructuring of the NHS: “Multiple morbidity will increase the number of patients and the likelihood of urgent hospital admissions in the future. In the absence of measures to address the current crisis of the NHS, the pressure on medical institutions will only increase.”
The main factors that provoke multiple morbidity among older people in the future are obesity and lack of physical activity among the British today.
Caroline Abrahams (Caroline Abrahams), Director of charity Age UK, said: “Consolation regarding the increase in life expectancy is undoubtedly a great achievement. Now our task is to improve the quality of that longer life.”
Many doctors agreed that the way will be solved the current crisis in the NHS, will affect the quality of life of older people in the future. Press Secretary NHS England added that improving the quality of care for the elderly should be a priority for the government.
We will remind that earlier scientists have reported a reduced life expectancy of Brits in those areas of the UK where there is a reduction in social assistance, economic stagnation and poor infrastructure.